Conservative Bloggers Support: Emmer or Seifert
Granted, I don’t know everyone among the Minnesota conservative blogging community, but among those I do and whom were willing to share, I’m seeing what you might call a very solid trend in their leanings for Republican Governor candidate endorsement.
Supporting Emmer
Gary Gross
Andy Aplikowski aka AAA
Nancy LaRoche aka Lassie
Mark Heurring aka Mr. D.
Derek Brigham aka Chief
Cindy Whitehair aka Lady Logician
Sheila Kihne
John Swon aka First Ringer
PoliGrrl
Craig Westover
Gary M. Miller aka Captain FaceBook
Leo Pusateri
Kermit Hauge
Drew Emmer (there’s a shocker)
Elmer from Minnesotans for Global Warming
Brad Carlson
Chris Walden
John LaPlante aka Policy Guy
Janet Beihoffer
Leaning Emmer but not committed yet
Kevin Ecker
Matt Abe
Katie Kieffer
J Roosh
Supporting Seifert
King Banaian
Bill Krause aka Master of None
Leaning Seifert, but not committed yet
Chad Doughty aka Chad the Elder
Uncommitted
Nihilist in Golf Pants - Solidly and equally impressed with both men
Brian St. Paul Ward - Solidly and equally impressed with both men
Martin Andrade - Undecided. Both Emmer and Seifert have their positives and negatives
Speed Gibson - I am non-committed at this point
Bogus Doug - I’m too cynical to get caught up in all the primary hoopla this time around
Keeping Quiet
Mitch Berg
David Strom
Margaret Martin
Sue Jefffers
The interesting thing here is it’s about 10 to 1 for Emmer so far. It's not scientific, and by no means am I saying the this lot of Minnesota conservative bloggers are king makers, but this pattern is something to take note of. I could see if it was, say 60/40, but I didn’t expect a near blow out for Emmer. Another thing, most of the names on this list are not just people who like to hear themselves type, they are delegates, and active members of our BPOUs and CDs
An observer of the straw poll results of caucus night could see Marty had the edge but Tom far from being out, is showing momentum. It's only a question of whether he will continue to pick up delegates or will peak at some point. There are many HD and SD conventions still to go where actual delegates will be selected.
This conservative support for Emmer has obviously been reflected in the blogs that activists read which in turn tap directly into the base. Will the momentum be enough for Tom to catch up to Marty's caucus night 10 point lead? If this weekend's convention results statewide are any indicator, I would say yes and in a big way.
Keep in mind that those caucus night straw poll votes represented all of those that showed up, but did not reflect actual delegate and alternate votes. For that matter, many delegates are still not finalized. As Margaret Martin wrote me this weekend: I wouldn't count Tom out yet, I think he could do it. The consensus among the punditry is that he simply more visually appealing--more likely to appeal to the kind of voter who doesn't pay much attention until the final days of the election but still manages to vote.
Will it be Sullivan vs. Pawlenty 2.0 at the convention this year? Stay tuned...
Cross-posted at Freedom Dogs. Comments welcome
UPDATE: MDE has the delegate count
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